Why Were the Polls Wrong?

Soul-searching in the industry began almost immediately. Pollsters and forecasters had worked hard to fix their reputation after 2016, but the polling errors this time around are even greater, leaving many looking for explanations. Among potential culprits are a shifting voter base, an overrepresentation of Biden supporters, the idea of “shy” Trump voters, and, perhaps most clearly, a failure to poll the full spectrum of Trump voters.

 

How Will Trump and Biden’s Tax Plans Affect Americans?

While there are underlying debates that are challenging to succinctly answer — such as about the long-run effects of taxation and government spending on economic growth — voters deserve a clear picture of each candidate’s tax plans and how those issues may most directly affect average Americans, the wealthy, and American business.

 

The Covid Comeback: What's Different This Time?

But in other parts of the world, and indeed in parts of the U.S., Covid-19 is very much on the rise, sparking fears of a “second” or even “third wave.” Can we expect the same in the U.S.? Is reopening a prelude to new rounds of shutdowns? Are lockdowns inevitable or are there other strategies that can avert such a resurgence of cases?